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The Cipher Brief

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2.9万回視聴 ・ 896いいね ・ 2026/03/18

Strait of Hormuz Crisis: What the U.S. Isn’t Saying | Norm Roule Breaks It Down

As tensions escalate in the Middle East, the Strait of Hormuz has become the world’s most dangerous economic choke point - and one of the most misunderstood.

In this in-depth conversation, former CIA National Intelligence Manager for Iran Norm Roule joins Cipher Brief CEO Suzanne Kelly to break down what’s really happening behind the scenes - and what comes next.

Roule explains why reopening the Strait isn’t just a military problem, but a global test of coalition leadership - and why some countries negotiating directly with Iran could make the situation far worse.

He also provides rare insight into:

• How the U.S. military is preparing for convoy operations in the Strait
• Why Iran’s missile and drone capabilities are degraded - but still dangerous
• What the new Iranian leadership really means for future conflict
• Why Israel and the U.S. define “victory” differently
• The growing, underreported role of Gulf nations defending against massive attacks
• The risk that Iran rebuilds its nuclear program - and what could stop it
Perhaps most importantly, Roule outlines the key indicators to watch in the coming weeks - signals that could determine whether this conflict escalates or stabilizes.

This is essential viewing for anyone trying to understand where this crisis is headed next.

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