A new tool, with code written only by AI, has gone omega-viral: Claude Cowork. But is the hype justified? What do the stats say on productivity? Where is the truth in a sea of noise? What is truth? Can we handle the truth? Where's Nemo?

matsprogram.org/s26-aie


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Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - Claude Cowork
07:36 - Productivity Speed-up + jobs
10:19 - Comparing Models
12:46 - Brittle AI Paper

Cowork Intro: x.com/claudeai/thread/2010805682434666759

'All of it': x.com/bcherny/status/2010813886052581538

'AGI' Claims: x.com/deepfates/status/2004994698335879383

Douglas Interview:    • No Priors Ep. 144 | The 2026 AI Forecast w...  

Job Stats: www.oxfordeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01…
Amodei Prediction: fortune.com/2025/05/28/anthropic-ceo-warning-ai-jo…

GenAI Traffic: x.com/demishassabis/status/2009075877347512545

Illusion of Insight: arxiv.org/pdf/2601.00514
Entropy Exploration: arxiv.org/pdf/2506.14758
ProRL: arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24864

Genesis Mission: www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/la…
deepmind.google/blog/how-were-supporting-better-tr…


Non-hype Newsletter: signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/